Cisco Stock Forecast 2025: Why Now is a Good Time to Invest

Cisco stock

Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) recently released its Q1 earnings for fiscal 2025, revealing strong performance metrics that indicate resilience and growth potential. Despite a brief dip in stock price due to cautious AI guidance, Cisco remains a solid investment choice. Here are three compelling reasons Cisco stock presents a promising forecast for long-term growth.

1. Growth in Recurring Revenue Signals Stability

Cisco’s Q1 results underscore a strategic pivot toward a recurring revenue model, offering a stable foundation for long-term growth. Cisco reported $13.84 billion in revenue, meeting the high end of its forecast and slightly beating analysts’ projections of $13.78 billion. Recurring revenue—now 57% of Cisco’s total revenue—reflects Cisco’s shift from hardware-based income toward a more resilient subscription-based approach.

This transition is evident in Cisco’s annualized recurring revenue (ARR), which rose by 22% year-over-year to $29.9 billion. Notably, product ARR grew by 44%, emphasizing the company’s move to a model that offers predictable, ongoing revenue streams. Cisco’s total software revenue also climbed 24% to $5.5 billion, with software subscription revenue increasing by 35%.

An essential metric of Cisco’s future growth is its remaining performance obligations (RPO), which represent future revenue commitments. RPO increased 15% to $40 billion, including $20.3 billion in short-term commitments. This strong backlog signals Cisco’s growth trajectory, providing a clear view of expected revenue and stability for investors.

2. Expanding Profit Margins Highlight Operational Strength

Cisco’s focus on enhancing profitability has yielded robust results, making the stock an attractive choice for investors. The company reported an adjusted gross margin of 69.3%, its highest in over two decades. This margin expansion was driven by product mix adjustments and productivity improvements, allowing Cisco to maintain profitability even in a competitive environment.

With an adjusted operating margin of 34.1%, Cisco exceeded the high end of its guidance range. This operational discipline contributed to adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.91, surpassing expectations. The company’s strong cash flow, amounting to $3.6 billion in Q1, allowed it to reward shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, reinforcing its commitment to value creation.

3. Strategic Positioning in AI and Emerging Technologies

Cisco’s strategic focus on AI and emerging technology positions it as a key player in the tech industry’s future. In Q1, Cisco secured over $300 million in AI infrastructure orders, primarily from webscale customers. The company expects AI orders to exceed $1 billion for fiscal 2025, highlighting its potential as a significant AI supplier.

Cisco’s Silicon One-powered 400G and 800G switches have become central to its AI offerings. These products are engineered to meet the needs of hyperscalers, offering scalable, low-power, high-performance networks essential for AI-driven applications and cloud-native services. This technology places Cisco at the forefront of AI infrastructure, catering to companies looking to scale their AI capabilities efficiently.

Additionally, Cisco’s security segment continues to grow rapidly. Recent acquisitions, such as Splunk, strengthen its cybersecurity portfolio by adding advanced threat intelligence and observability capabilities. Security orders doubled in Q1, driven by heightened demand for sophisticated solutions in cybersecurity. Cisco’s investments in tools like ThousandEyes and Splunk Observability align with the demand for robust monitoring and management of complex IT environments.

Additional Catalysts Driving Cisco’s Growth

Cisco’s targeted acquisitions are aligned with its growth strategy. Recent deals, such as the acquisitions of DeepFactor and Robust Intelligence, bolster Cisco’s AI and security capabilities. These acquisitions reinforce Cisco’s commitment to expanding its product portfolio in high-demand areas, particularly AI and cybersecurity.

Cisco also launched new AI-centric products like AI servers and AI PODs, which simplify AI infrastructure deployment, a crucial step for companies seeking modernization. These solutions are expected to resonate with businesses aiming to stay competitive in the rapidly evolving tech landscape.

Conclusion: The Long-Term Outlook for Cisco Stock

Cisco’s strong start to fiscal 2025 highlights the company’s resilience and growth potential. With a growing recurring revenue base, expanding profit margins, and strategic investments in AI and security, Cisco stands out as a promising investment for those looking to capitalize on tech’s future.

Analysts currently rate Cisco as a “Moderate Buy,” noting its strategic positioning in AI, cloud, and cybersecurity as key drivers for sustained growth. As Cisco continues to innovate and expand its offerings, it remains well-positioned to meet the increasing demand for advanced technology solutions, making Cisco stock a compelling choice for long-term investors.

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About the author: Stephanie Bédard-Châteauneuf has over seven years of experience writing financial content for various websites. Over the years, Stephanie has covered various industries, with a primary focus on tech stocks, consumer stocks, market news, and personal finance. She has an MBA in finance.