We expect investors to focus on the sales performance of
Assertio Holdings
’
ASRT
marketed drugs when it reports first-quarter 2022 results on May 9, after the market closes.
ASRT’s earnings surpassed expectations in two of the trailing four quarters and missed the same on the other two occasions, the average surprise being 20.8%. In the last reported quarter, Assertio Holdings witnessed a negative earnings surprise of 16.7%.
Assertio Holdings, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise
Assertio Holdings, Inc. price-eps-surprise
|
Assertio Holdings, Inc. Quote
In the year so far, shares of Assertio Holdings have risen 2.8% against the
industry
’s 19.1% fall.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Let’s see how things have shaped up for the quarter to be reported.
Factors to Consider
Assertio Holdings currently has multiple marketed products in its portfolio targeting a diverse range of diseases. ASRT’s lead product is Indocin, approved by the FDA for multiple indications, including rheumatoid arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis and osteoarthritis. The drug is approved by the regulatory agency for use in both suppository and oral solution forms.
Other marketed products include Cambia (for acute treatment of migraine attacks with or without aura), Otrexup (an injection containing methotrexate for treating rheumatoid arthritis and active polyarticular juvenileidiopathic arthritis) and Oxaydi, Sprix and Zipsor (for pain management).
Otrexup was acquired by Assertio Holdings from
Antares Pharma
ATRS
last December. Per the terms of the acquisition deal, Assertio Holdings will pay a purchase price of $44 million to Antares Pharma in three different intervals.
ASRT expects the purchase to be accretive to earnings from 2022 onward. Assertio Holdings plans to sustain its acquisitions with products like Otrexup to generate at least $50 million of gross profit by 2024. Prior to its sell-off, Antares Pharma had reported $15.5 million of revenues from Otrexup sales in the trailing 12 months.
In the last reported quarter, total revenues were up 24% sequentially and 7% year over year, driven by net price favorability for Indocin, Cambia and Zipsor, a trend that most likely continued in the to-be reported quarter too. Assertio Holdings completed a restructuring plan in third-quarter 2022, which was implemented in December 2020. This, in turn, helped the company achieve $45 million of annualized synergies starting 2022.
Earnings Whispers
Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Assertio Holdings this time around. The combination of a positive
Earnings ESP
and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. Unfortunately, that is not the case here as you will see below. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our
Earnings ESP Filter
.
Earnings ESP:
Assertio Holdings has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% as both the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate are pegged at 91 cents.
Zacks Rank:
Assertio Holdings currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Stocks to Consider
Here are a few stocks you may want to consider as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings this reporting cycle.
Adicet Bio
ACET
has an Earnings ESP of +218.52% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. You can
see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here
.
In the past 30 days, estimates for Adicet Bio’s 2022 loss per share have narrowed from $1.05 to $1.03. Earnings of Adicet Bio missed estimates in three of the last four quarters and beat the mark on one occasion, witnessing a negative surprise of 13.3%, on average.
Novavax
NVAX
has an Earnings ESP of +10.13% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present.
In the past 30 days, estimates for Novavax’s 2022 earnings per share have increased from $22.84 to $24.26. The same for 2023 has increased from $14.86 to $15.27 in the past 30 days. Earnings of Novavax missed estimates in each of the last four quarters, witnessing a negative surprise of 182.5%, on average.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the
Zacks Earnings Calendar
.
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