Palantir Stock Falls 30%—Should You Buy the Dip Now?

palantir stock

Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) has seen a sharp decline, dropping 30% in the past month despite strong earnings and growing AI adoption. The stock, which soared in 2024 on investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence (AI) and government contracts, is now facing valuation concerns and macroeconomic headwinds.

With Palantir stock trading far below its peak, some investors see an opportunity to buy at a discount, while others worry about further downside. Let’s examine whether now is the right time to invest in Palantir.

Understanding Palantir Stock

Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) is an AI-powered data analytics firm specializing in government contracts and enterprise solutions. The company’s software—Palantir Gotham and Palantir Foundry—is used for national security, financial modeling, and business intelligence.

The stock has been volatile, trading between $20.33 and $125.41 over the past year. After peaking above $120 in early 2025, Palantir stock has pulled back to around $85. Despite this recent decline, it remains up 266% year-over-year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index ($SPX), which has gained just 10% in the same period.

However, Palantir’s valuation is a key concern. The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 244.6x, well above other enterprise software firms. Its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 65.2x and price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 36.6x also indicate that investors are paying a steep premium for its AI-driven growth potential.

Strong Q4 Earnings for Palantir Stock

Palantir delivered impressive Q4 2024 earnings, beating analyst expectations:

Earnings per share (EPS): $0.14 (vs. $0.11 expected)

Revenue: $828 million, up 36% year-over-year

U.S. revenue: $558 million, up 52% year-over-year

Government revenue: $343 million, up 45% year-over-year

Free cash flow: $517 million with a 63% margin

Despite concerns about Palantir stock’s valuation, the company continues to grow rapidly. Its U.S. commercial revenue jumped 64% year-over-year to $214 million, while federal contracts fueled steady government revenue growth.

For Q1 2025, Palantir expects revenue between $858 million and $862 million, reflecting 30% growth. Full-year 2025 revenue projections range from $3.741 billion to $3.757 billion, with $1.5 billion to $1.7 billion in expected adjusted free cash flow.

Should You Buy the Dip in Palantir Stock?

Despite strong fundamentals, Palantir stock faces several challenges:

High Valuation: Even after a 30% drop, its P/E ratio remains significantly above industry peers.

Macroeconomic Risks: Rising interest rates and potential cuts in government spending could pressure its growth.

Stock Volatility: With a wide trading range and price swings, Palantir stock isn’t for the faint of heart.

However, the bull case remains compelling:

AI and Big Data Demand: As AI adoption accelerates, Palantir is well-positioned to benefit.

Expanding Enterprise Business: Commercial revenue is growing faster than government contracts, diversifying its revenue streams.

Strong Balance Sheet: With robust cash flow and profitability, Palantir can sustain long-term growth.

Analyst Ratings on Palantir Stock

Palantir stock currently holds a “Hold” consensus rating from 19 analysts. While sentiment has improved slightly, price targets remain highly polarized:

Mean price target: $85.11 (near current levels)

Highest target: $141 (65% upside)

Lowest target: $18 (78% downside)

The wide range reflects uncertainty about Palantir’s valuation and growth sustainability.

Bottom Line

Palantir stock’s 30% drop presents a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors bullish on AI and big data. However, its rich valuation and macroeconomic risks suggest caution. Investors should weigh Palantir’s growth prospects against its high price multiples before deciding whether to buy the dip.

Featured Image: Freepik

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About the author: Stephanie Bédard-Châteauneuf has over seven years of experience writing financial content for various websites. Over the years, Stephanie has covered various industries, with a primary focus on tech stocks, consumer stocks, market news, and personal finance. She has an MBA in finance.