Palantir Stock Soars 117% in 2024: Is it a Buy?

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Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) has experienced an impressive rise in 2024, with its stock soaring by 116.7% year-to-date (YTD). This growth has not only outpaced the broader market but has also eclipsed the performance of the S&P 500, which has seen gains of 21.1%, and the overall tech industry, which has risen by 27.8%.

Closing at $37.2 in its last trading session, the Palantir stock is near its 52-week high of $38.19. The stock has consistently traded above its 50-day moving average, a technical indicator suggesting bullish momentum and investor optimism. The excitement around Palantir’s strong position in artificial intelligence (AI) technology is attracting investors eager to tap into this rapidly growing market.

Palantir’s Innovative Sales Strategy

Palantir has positioned itself as a leader in AI and machine learning (ML) solutions, primarily targeting large government and corporate clients who require robust, customized data platforms. To broaden its customer base, Palantir adopted a modular sales strategy. This approach allows clients to purchase specific components of its platform, rather than committing to the entire suite upfront. Additionally, the company employs usage-based pricing, reducing the entry barrier for smaller clients who can gradually increase their spending as they scale their use of Palantir’s solutions.

This flexibility has fueled rapid growth in Palantir’s U.S. commercial customer base, making the company more accessible and expanding its revenue streams.

AI and Data Analytics: Palantir’s Core Strengths

Palantir’s AI strategy is centered around its proprietary Foundry and Gotham platforms, designed to promote AI adoption across government and commercial sectors. Its AI Platform (AIP) enables real-time processing of large datasets, which is crucial for industries such as defense, healthcare, finance, and intelligence, where efficient data integration and decision-making are vital.

In the government sector, Palantir aligns its AI offerings with U.S. defense priorities, contributing to modernizing military operations. Notably, the company’s work on high-profile projects like the Department of Defense’s Open DAGIR initiative demonstrates its role in enhancing data interoperability and operational efficiency through AI.

Commercially, Palantir’s AIP boot camps, which provide hands-on training to over 1,000 companies, have proven to be a valuable customer acquisition tool. The boot camps showcase the platform’s adaptability across industries like logistics, manufacturing, and supply chain management.

In the second quarter of 2024, Palantir reported strong financial growth, with government revenues rising 23% year-over-year and U.S. commercial revenues surging by 55%. These gains were primarily driven by the success of the AIP and the company’s focus on high-margin contracts. Additionally, Palantir’s operating income jumped 88%, and its adjusted operating margin increased by 1,200 basis points, demonstrating robust financial health.

Palantir Stock’s Financial Strength and S&P 500 Inclusion

As of June 30, Palantir reported holding approximately $4 billion in cash and no debt. This strong balance sheet provides the company with significant financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities or strategic acquisitions without straining its resources.

Palantir’s inclusion in the S&P 500 on September 23 has also contributed to the stock’s upward momentum. The inclusion is based on Palantir’s consistent financial performance, including seven consecutive quarters of profitability. Being part of the S&P 500 is expected to boost demand for its shares from index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), enhancing the company’s visibility and broadening its investor base.

Growth Outlook: Earnings and Revenue Potential

The future of Palantir stock looks promising, with positive earnings and sales projections. The Consensus Estimate for the company’s third-quarter earnings is pegged at 9 cents, representing a 28.6% increase from the year-ago period. Earnings for 2024 and 2025 are expected to grow by 44% and 22.6%, respectively. Meanwhile, Palantir’s sales are projected to rise by 26.3% year-over-year in the third quarter, and by 24.2% and 21.5% in 2024 and 2025, respectively.

In the last 60 days, six upward estimate revisions have been made for Palantir’s third-quarter earnings, reflecting strong analyst confidence. The consensus estimate for earnings has increased by 12.5% during this period. For 2024 and 2025, upward revisions have also been significant, with eight and seven estimates raised, respectively.

Is Palantir Stock a Buy?

Given Palantir’s leadership in AI and its strong financial performance, the Palantir stock appears to present an attractive buy opportunity. With a robust cash position, continued growth in both government and commercial sectors, and its recent inclusion in the S&P 500, Palantir is well-positioned for future upside. While the stock has already experienced significant gains, the ongoing demand for AI solutions, growing customer base, and financial resilience suggest that it could still be a compelling addition to growth-focused investment portfolios. Investors looking for opportunities in AI-driven technology and data analytics may find Palantir an attractive investment to capitalize on future trends.

Featured Image: DepositPhotos @ Sdecoret

Disclaimer

About the author: Stephanie Bédard-Châteauneuf has over seven years of experience writing financial content for various websites. Over the years, Stephanie has covered various industries, with a primary focus on tech stocks, consumer stocks, market news, and personal finance. She has an MBA in finance.