Tim Cook’s Big Bet on Nike Stock

Nike stock

Nike stock (NYSE:NKE) has faced a challenging 2025, with disappointing quarters leaving shares down more than 26% from their 52-week highs. Investor confidence has been shaky despite strong global demand for footwear, projected to generate around $500 billion in revenue this year with a 5.52% annual growth rate through 2030.

On Dec. 22, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) CEO Tim Cook, who has served as Nike’s lead independent director since 2016, purchased 50,000 Class B shares of NKE at an average price of $58.97. This $2.95 million open-market transaction nearly doubled his stake to roughly 105,000 shares and was his largest Nike stock purchase in years.

The stock reacted immediately, rising 2%–5% in premarket and early trading on Dec. 24, reflecting the market’s positive reception to Cook’s vote of confidence.


Nike Stock Financial Overview

Nike remains the world’s largest athletic footwear and apparel brand, balancing wholesale partnerships with direct-to-consumer sales, including digital platforms. Despite this reach, Nike stock has struggled: down 19% over the past 52 weeks, with a 6% rise in the last five trading days.

Valuation metrics indicate Nike stock trades at a forward P/E of 38.16x, more than double the consumer discretionary sector average of 17.83x, signaling that investors expect long-term quality and growth. The dividend yields 1.61% annually, with $0.41 per share, maintained over 23 consecutive years, though the forward payout ratio of 93.69% suggests limited room for further hikes.

Fiscal 2026 Q2 results were mixed. Revenue grew 1% YoY to $12.4 billion, while gross margin fell 300 basis points to 40.6% due to North American tariffs. Net income dropped 32% to $0.8 billion, and EPS came in at $0.53. Wholesale revenue rose 8%, but Nike Direct sales fell 9%, highlighting ongoing execution challenges.


Innovation Driving Nike Stock’s Potential

Nike is betting on innovation to drive future growth. Project Amplify, a powered footwear system developed with robotics firm Dephy, supports natural ankle and leg movement and has been tested by over 400 athletes. Early feedback describes it as a “second set of calf muscles,” positioning Nike stock for long-term excitement in performance gear.

Additionally, the Mind Series, neuroscience-inspired footwear developed over 10 years, uses 22 foam nodes to stimulate sensory feedback, helping athletes feel calmer and more balanced. Global launch is planned for January 2026. These initiatives could enhance Nike stock’s long-term value if consumer adoption grows.


Analyst Views on Nike Stock

For the quarter ending February 2026, analysts project EPS of $0.36 versus $0.54 last year, a 33.33% decline. For May 2026, EPS is expected to jump to $0.26 from $0.14, reflecting potential recovery. Full-year fiscal 2026 EPS is forecast at $1.57, down from $2.16 in 2025.

Jefferies maintains a “Buy” rating with a $115 target, citing progress in North America and EMEA. Bank of America analyst Lorraine Hutchinson kept a “Buy” rating but lowered her target to $73, noting weaker China trends and cautious margin guidance.

Across Wall Street, 35 analysts give a consensus “Moderate Buy”, with an average price target of $76.60, suggesting about 25.7% upside from current levels, aligning with Cook’s confidence in Nike stock.


Should Investors Follow Tim Cook?

Cook’s $3 million purchase is a strong signal of insider confidence, but Nike stock is not without risks. Earnings remain pressured, and shares trade at a rich multiple versus the sector. Investors willing to tolerate volatility and invest gradually could benefit if Nike delivers margin stabilization, execution improvements, and success from its innovation pipeline.

In the near term, shares may remain choppy, but long-term upside exists if the turnaround strategy under CEO Elliott Hill proves effective. Nike stock’s potential growth is tied closely to execution, direct-to-consumer expansion, and adoption of new technologies like Project Amplify and the Mind Series.


Conclusion

Tim Cook’s purchase of Nike stock signals confidence, but retail investors should approach cautiously. Gradual accumulation rather than chasing short-term gains aligns with the stock’s current volatility and future prospects.

Featured Image: Pixabay© Mohamed Marzuk Mohamed Ansari 

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About the author: Stephanie Bédard-Châteauneuf has over seven years of experience writing financial content for various websites. Over the years, Stephanie has covered various industries, with a primary focus on tech stocks, consumer stocks, market news, and personal finance. She has an MBA in finance.