TransGlobe Energy Corporation Announces Year End 2020 Financial and Operating Results


AIM & TSX: “TGL” & NASDAQ: “TGA”


This Announcement contains inside information as defined in Article 7 of the Market Abuse Regulation No. 596/2014 (“MAR”). Upon the publication of this Announcement, this inside information is now considered to be in the public domain.

CALGARY, Alberta, March 12, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — TransGlobe Energy Corporation (“TransGlobe” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce its financial and operating results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2020. All dollar values are expressed in United States dollars unless otherwise stated. TransGlobe’s Condensed Consolidated Interim Financial Statements together with the notes related thereto, as well as TransGlobe’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019, are available on TransGlobe’s website at

www.trans-globe.com

.


2020 HIGHLIGHTS:

  • 2020 production averaged 13,425 boe/d (Egypt 11,147 bbls/d, Canada 2,278 boe/d), a decrease of 16% from 2019 primarily due to deferred well interventions in Egypt during low oil prices, the curtailed 2020 capital program and natural declines;
  • Sales averaged 15,437 boe/d in 2020 with an average realized price of $33.41/boe; 2020 average realized price on Egyptian sales of $35.94/bbl and Canadian sales of $18.82/boe;
  • Inventoried entitlement crude oil in Egypt decreased to 227.9 Mbbls as at December 31, 2020 from 964.5 Mbbls as at December 31, 2019;
  • Ended the year with 38.9 MMboe of 2P reserves, down 14% from 2019 year end of 45.3 MMboe;
  • Funds flow from operations of $30.4 million ($0.42 per share) in 2020;
  • 2020 net loss of $77.4 million ($1.07 per share), is inclusive of a $73.5 million non-cash impairment loss and a $0.2 million unrealized loss on derivative commodity contracts;
  • The Company ended the year with positive working capital of $15.3 million, including cash and cash equivalents of $34.5 million;
  • Drilled and completed one development oil well and performed four recompletions in Egypt during 2020;
  • Drilled one horizontal Cardium oil well in Canada during 2020;
  • Business continuity plans remain effective across our locations in response to COVID-19 with minimal health and safety impacts or disruption to production; and
  • The Company announced a merged concession agreement with a 15-year primary term and improved Company economics on December 3, 2020. The agreement is currently awaiting ratification by the Egyptian Parliament but will have a Feb, 2020 effective date upon ratification.


2021 (TO DATE) HIGHLIGHTS:

  • January 2021 average production of 12,480 boe/d, February 2021 average production of 12,007 boe/d;
  • Completed monthly sales to EGPC of 167.0 Mbbl for proceeds of $8.6 million;
  • Stimulated and equipped the 2-mile horizontal South Harmattan well drilled, but uncompleted, in Q1-2020;
  • Began work to expand the production handling capacity at South Ghazalat; and
  • Work has begun on the SGZ-6X recompletion to the deeper, more prospective lower Bahariya reservoir.


FINANCIAL AND OPERATING RESULTS

Additional financial information is provided in the Company’s audited Consolidated Financial Statements together with the notes related thereto, as well as TransGlobe’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019. These documents, along with other documents affecting the rights of securityholders and other information relating to the Company, may be found on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 40-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, filed on EDGAR at

www.sec.gov

.

(US$000s, except per share, price, volume amounts and % change)


Three Months Ended December 31

Years Ended December 31

Financial

2020
2019 % Change
2020
2019 % Change
Petroleum and natural gas sales
50,989
64,201 (21 )
188,771
278,929 (32 )
Petroleum and natural gas sales, net of royalties
33,309
28,473 17
114,675
140,096 (18 )
Realized derivative loss gain on commodity contracts
(6

)
(218 ) 97
6,801
(1,259 ) 640
Unrealized derivative loss on commodity contracts
(941

)
(1,201 ) (22 )
(180

)
(1,586 ) 89
Production and operating expense
19,326
15,119 28
64,462
50,626 27
Selling costs
1,008
638 58
2,111
1,287 64
General and administrative expense
3,593
3,868 (7 )
11,990
16,611 (28 )
Depletion, depreciation and amortization expense
7,647
8,764 (13 )
31,049
34,948 (11 )
Income tax expense
3,408
6,003 (43 )
13,530
26,098 (48 )
Cash flow generated by operating activities
14,180
23,740 (40 )
31,709
44,836 (29 )
Funds flow from operations

1

7,202
3,171 127
30,443
46,871 (35 )
Basic per share
0.10
0.04
0.42
0.65
Diluted per share
0.10
0.04
0.42
0.65
Net loss
(2,855

)
(8,202 ) (65 )
(77,397

)
(3,995 ) 1,837
Basic per share
(0.04

)
(0.11 )
(1.07

)
(0.06 )
Diluted per share
(0.04

)
(0.11 )
(1.07

)
(0.06 )
Capital expenditures
255
10,996 (98 )
7,498
36,932 (80 )
Dividends declared



5,078 (100 )
Dividends declared per share



0.07
Working capital
15,349
32,194 (52 )
15,349
32,194 (52 )
Long-term debt, including current portion
21,464
37,041 (42 )
21,464
37,041 (42 )
Common shares outstanding
Basic (weighted average)
72,542
72,542
72,542
72,514
Diluted (weighted average)
72,542
72,542
72,542
72,514
Total assets
201,147
308,325 (35 )
201,147
308,325 (35 )

Operating
Average production volumes (boe/d)
12,384
15,362 (19 )
13,425
16,041 (16 )
Average sales volumes (boe/d)
15,712
14,688 7
15,437
14,954 3
Inventory (Mbbls)
227.9
964.5 (76 )
227.9
964.5 (76 )
Average realized sales price ($/boe)
35.27
47.51 (26 )
33.41
51.10 (35 )
Production and operating expenses ($/boe)
13.37
11.19 19
11.41
9.28 23


1

Funds flow from operations is a measure that represents cash generated from operating activities before changes in non-cash working capital and may not be comparable to measures used by other companies.



SELECTED ANNUAL INFORMATION

($000s, except per share amounts, price and volumes)
2020
% Change 2019 % Change 2018
Operations
Average production volumes
Crude oil (bbls/d)
11,858
(18 ) 14,527 14 12,708
NGLs (bbls/d)
785
35 582 (25 ) 780
Natural gas (Mcf/d)
4,686
(16 ) 5,594 (2 ) 5,707
Total (boe/d)
13,425
(16 ) 16,041 11 14,439
Average sales volumes
Crude oil (bbls/d)
13,871
3 13,441 1 13,282
NGLs (bbls/d)
785
35 582 (25 ) 780
Natural gas (Mcf/d)
4,686
(16 ) 5,594 (2 ) 5,707
Total (boe/d)
15,437
3 14,954 15,013
Average realized sales prices
Crude oil ($/bbl)
35.80
(35 ) 55.31 (7 ) 59.57
NGLs ($/bbl)
14.59
(36 ) 22.93 (16 ) 27.17
Natural gas ($/mcf)
1.64
24 1.32 5 1.26
Total oil equivalent ($/boe)
33.41
(35 ) 51.10 (6 ) 54.59
Inventory (Mbbls)
227.9
(76 ) 964.5 70 568.1
Petroleum and natural gas sales
188,771
(32 ) 278,929 (7 ) 299,144
Petroleum and natural gas sales, net of royalties
114,675
(18 ) 140,096 (21 ) 176,227
Cash flow generated by operating activities
31,709
(29 ) 44,836 (35 ) 69,192
Funds flow from operations

1

30,443
(35 ) 46,871 (26 ) 63,282
Funds flow from operations per share:
Basic
0.42
0.65 0.87
Diluted
0.42
0.65 0.86
Net (loss) earnings
(77,397

)
1,837 (3,995 ) (125 ) 15,677
Net (loss) earnings per share:
Basic
(1.07

)
(0.06 ) 0.22
Diluted
(1.07

)
(0.06 ) 0.22
Capital expenditures
7,498
(80 ) 36,932 (9 ) 40,706
Dividends declared

5,078 101 2,527
Dividends declared per share

0.070 100 0.035
Total assets
201,147
(35 ) 308,325 (3 ) 318,296
Cash and cash equivalents
34,510
4 33,251 (36 ) 51,705
Working capital
15,349
(52 ) 32,194 (37 ) 50,987
Total long-term debt, including current portion
21,464
(42 ) 37,041 (29 ) 52,355
Net debt-to-funds flow from operations ratio

2

0.20
0.10 0.02
Reserves
Total proved (MMboe)

3

22.8
(10 ) 25.4 (6 ) 26.9
Total proved plus probable (MMboe)

3

38.9
(14 ) 45.3 3 44.1


1

Funds flow from operations (before finance costs) is a measure that represents cash generated from operating activities before changes in non-cash working capital and may not be comparable to measures used by other companies.

2

Net debt-to-funds flow from operations ratio is a measure that represents total long-term debt (including the current portion) net of working capital, over funds flow from operations for the trailing 12 months and may not be comparable to measures used by other companies.

3

As determined by the Company’s 2020, 2019 & 2018 independent reserves evaluator, GLJ Ltd. (“GLJ”), in their reports dated February 9, 2021, February 4, 2020 and January 22, 2019 with effective dates of December 31, 2020, December 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018. The reports of GLJ have been prepared in accordance with the standards contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook prepared jointly by The Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (Calgary Chapter) and the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy & Petroleum (Petroleum Society), as amended from time to time and National Instrument 51-101.


In 2020 compared with 2019, TransGlobe:

  • Reported a 16% decrease in production volumes compared to 2019. In Egypt, the decrease was primarily attributable to the curtailed 2020 capital program, deferred well interventions and natural declines.
  • Ended 2020 with the inventoried crude oil of 227.9 Mbbls, a decrease of 736.6 Mbbls over inventoried crude oil levels at December 31, 2020, primarily due to annual sales volumes exceeding production volumes.
  • Reported positive funds flow from operations of $30.4 million (2019 – $46.9 million). The decrease in funds flow from operations from 2019 is primarily due lower production and lower commodity prices;
  • Petroleum and natural gas sales decreased by 32%, primarily due to a 35% decrease in average realized sales prices;
  • Reported a net loss of $77.4 million (2019 – net loss of $4.0 million) inclusive of a $0.2 million unrealized derivative loss on commodity contracts and a combined $73.5 million non-cash impairment loss on the Company’s petroleum and natural gas (“PNG”) and exploration and evaluation (“E&E”) assets;
  • Ended the year with positive working capital of $15.3 million, including $34.5 million in cash and cash equivalents as at December 31, 2020;
  • Spent $7.5 million on capital expenditures, funded entirely from cash flow from operations and cash on hand;
  • Repaid $16.5 million of long-term debt with cash on hand.


OPERATING RESULTS AND NETBACK


Daily Volumes, Working Interest before Royalties


Production Volumes


2020
2019
Egypt crude oil (bbls/d)
11,147
13,713
Canada crude oil (bbls/d)
711
814
Canada NGLs (bbls/d)
785
582
Canada natural gas (Mcf/d)
4,686
5,594

Total Company (boe/d)

13,425
16,041



Sales Volumes (excludes volumes held as inventory)


2020
2019
Egypt crude oil (bbls/d)
13,160
12,627
Canada crude oil (bbls/d)
711
814
Canada NGLs (bbls/d)
785
582
Canada natural gas (Mcf/d)
4,686
5,594

Total Company (boe/d)

15,437
14,954



Netback


Consolidated netback


2020
2019
($000s, except per boe amounts)
$

$/boe
$ $/boe
Petroleum and natural gas sales
188,771

33.41
278,929 51.10
Royalties

2

74,096

13.11
138,833 25.44
Current taxes

2

13,530

2.39
26,098 4.78
Production and operating expenses
64,462

11.41
50,626 9.28
Selling costs
2,111

0.37
1,287 0.24

Netback


1


34,572

6.13
62,085 11.36


1

The Company achieved the netbacks above on sold barrels of oil equivalent for the year ended December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019 (these figures do not include TransGlobe’s Egypt entitlement crude oil held as inventory at December 31, 2020).

2

Royalties and taxes are settled at the time of production. Fluctuations in royalty and tax costs per bbl are due to timing differences between the production and sale of the Company’s entitlement crude oil.


Egypt


2020
2019
($000s, except per boe amounts)
$

$/boe
$ $/boe
Oil sales
173,086

35.94
256,193 55.59
Royalties

2

71,741

14.89
136,616 29.64
Current taxes

2

13,530

2.81
26,098 5.66
Production and operating expenses
58,305

12.11
43,252 9.38
Selling costs
2,111

0.44
1,287 0.28

Netback


1


27,399

5.69
48,940 10.63


1

The Company achieved the netbacks above on sold barrels of oil equivalent for the year ended December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019 (these figures do not include TransGlobe’s Egypt entitlement crude oil held as inventory at December 31, 2020).

2

Royalties and taxes are settled at the time of production. Fluctuations in royalty and tax costs per bbl are due to timing differences between the production and sale of the Company’s entitlement crude oil.


Netback per barrel in Egypt decreased by 46% in 2020 compared to 2019. The decrease was due to a 35% lower realized oil price, 57% higher selling costs and 29% higher production and operating expenses.

Royalties and taxes as a percentage of revenue were 49% in 2020 (2019 – 64%). Royalties and taxes are settled on a production basis, therefore, the correlation of royalties and taxes to oil sales fluctuates depending on the timing of entitlement oil sales. If sales volumes had been equal to production volumes during the year, royalties and taxes as a percentage of revenue would have been 58% (2019 – 58%). In periods when the Company sells less than its entitlement production, royalties and taxes as a percentage of revenue will be higher than the terms set out in the PSCs. In periods when the Company sells more than its entitlement production, royalties and taxes as a percentage of revenue will be lower than the terms set out in the PSCs. The relative decrease, from 64% in 2019 to 49% in 2020, was due to sales outpacing production in 2020, partially offset by Q1-2020 excess cost oil in the West Bakr concession. Excess cost oil occurs when the current costs and historic cost amortization, permissible within the PSC, are less than the proportion of cost oil value. In the case of West Bakr, 100% of excess cost oil belongs to EGPC, which effectively increases the royalty burden.

In Egypt, the average selling price for the year ended December 31, 2020 was $35.94/bbl (2019 – $55.59/bbl), which was $5.82/bbl lower (2019 – $8.77/bbl lower) than the average Dated Brent oil price of $41.76/bbl for 2020 (2019 – $64.36/bbl). The difference between the average selling price and Dated Brent is due to a gravity/quality adjustment and is also impacted by the specific timing of direct sales.

In Egypt, production and operating expenses fluctuate periodically due to changes in inventory volumes as a portion of costs are capitalized and expensed when sold. Production and operating expenses increased by 35% ($15.1 million) in 2020 compared with 2019. The increase was primarily related to a decrease in crude oil inventory through sales to both EGPC and Mercuria, where operating costs previously capitalized to inventory were expensed in the period of sale ($14.0 million). The increase was also caused by higher manpower costs as well as operating expenses related to the South Ghazalat concession which began operating in 2020, partially offset by a decrease in workovers and production handling fees. The increase in production and operating expenses per barrel from $9.38/bbl in 2019 to $12.11/bbl in 2020 was due to a 19% decrease in production primarily attributed to the curtailed 2020 capital program, deferred well interventions and natural declines.



Canada


2020
2019
($000s, except per boe amounts)
$

$/boe
$ $/boe
Crude oil sales
8,679

33.36
15,159 51.02
Natural gas sales
2,815

9.85
2,705 7.95
NGL sales
4,191

14.59
4,872 22.93
Total sales
15,685

18.82
22,736 26.75
Royalties
2,355

2.83
2,217 2.61
Production and operating expenses
6,157

7.39
7,374 8.68

Netback

7,173

8.60
13,145 15.46


Netbacks per boe in Canada decreased by 44% in 2020 compared with 2019. The decrease is mainly due to a 30% lower realized sales price and an 8% increase in royalties, partially offset by a 15% decrease in production and operating expenses.

In 2020, the Company’s Canadian operations incurred $0.1 million higher royalty costs than in 2019. The increase in royalties was primarily due to an increase in mineral taxes. Mineral taxes are an annual tax on PNG productive mineral rights on freehold properties payable to the Crown. A further increase in royalties was caused by a decrease in Gas Cost Allowance (“GCA”) rebates received in 2020 compared to 2019. Royalties amounted to 15% of petroleum and natural gas sales revenue during 2020 compared to 10% during the prior year. TransGlobe pays royalties to the Alberta provincial government and landowners in accordance with an established royalty regime. In Alberta, Crown royalty rates are based on reference commodity prices, production levels and well depths, and are offset by certain incentive programs in place to promote drilling activity by reducing overall royalty expense.

Production and operating expenses decreased by 15% compared with 2019. The decrease was primarily due to a decrease in transportation costs.


Consolidated Statements of Loss and Comprehensive Loss


(Expressed in thousands of U.S. Dollars, except per share amounts)


Years Ended December 31




2020
2019

REVENUE
Petroleum and natural gas sales, net of royalties
114,675
140,096
Finance revenue
106
471
Other revenue
641

115,422
140,567

EXPENSES
Production and operating
64,462
50,626
Selling costs
2,111
1,287
General and administrative
11,990
16,611
Foreign exchange loss (gain)
24
(147 )
Finance costs
2,520
4,256
Depletion, depreciation and amortization
31,049
34,948
Asset retirement obligation accretion
259
215
(Gain) loss on financial instruments
(6,621

)
2,845
Impairment loss
73,495
7,937
Gain on disposition of assets

(114 )

179,289
118,464
(Loss) earnings before income taxes
(63,867

)
22,103
Income tax expense – current
13,530
26,098

NET LOSS

(77,397

)
(3,995 )

OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Currency translation adjustments
766
2,073

COMPREHENSIVE LOSS

(76,631

)
(1,922 )

Net loss per share
Basic
(1.07

)
(0.06 )
Diluted
(1.07

)
(0.06 )




Consolidated Balance Sheets


(Expressed in thousands of U.S. Dollars)


As at
As at

December 31, 2020
December 31, 2019

ASSETS

Current
Cash and cash equivalents
34,510
33,251
Accounts receivable
9,996
10,681
Prepaids and other
3,530
4,338
Product inventory
5,828
17,516

53,864
65,786

Non-Current
Intangible exploration and evaluation assets
584
33,706
Property and equipment
Petroleum and natural gas assets
140,059
196,150
Other
2,917
4,296
Deferred taxes
3,723
8,387

201,147
308,325

LIABILITIES

Current
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities
21,667
32,156
Derivative commodity contracts
398
217
Current portion of lease obligations
1,553
1,219
Current portion of long-term debt
14,897

38,515
33,592

Non-Current
Long-term debt
6,567
37,041
Asset retirement obligations
13,042
13,612
Other long-term liabilities
544
614
Lease obligations
461
589
Deferred taxes
3,723
8,387

62,852
93,835

SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Share capital
152,805
152,805
Accumulated other comprehensive income
1,900
1,134
Contributed surplus
25,109
24,673
(Deficit) Retained earnings
(41,519

)
35,878

138,295
214,490

201,147
308,325




Consolidated Statements of Changes in Shareholders’ Equity


(Expressed in thousands of U.S. Dollars)


Years Ended December 31




2020
2019

Share Capital
Balance, beginning of year
152,805
152,084
Stock options exercised

547
Transfer from contributed surplus on exercise of options

174

Balance, end of year

152,805
152,805

Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income
Balance, beginning of year
1,134
(939 )
Currency translation adjustment
766
2,073

Balance, end of year

1,900
1,134

Contributed Surplus
Balance, beginning of year
24,673
24,195
Share-based compensation expense
436
652
Transfer to share capital on exercise of options

(174 )

Balance, end of year

25,109
24,673

(Deficit) Retained Earnings
Balance, beginning of year
35,878
44,951
Net loss
(77,397

)
(3,995 )
Dividends

(5,078 )

Balance, end of year

(41,519

)
35,878




Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows


(Expressed in thousands of U.S. Dollars)


Years Ended December 31




2020
2019

OPERATING
Net loss
(77,397

)
(3,995 )
Adjustments for:
Depletion, depreciation and amortization
31,049
34,948
Asset retirement obligation accretion
259
215
Impairment loss
73,495
7,937
Share-based compensation
857
2,237
Finance costs
2,520
4,256
Unrealized loss on financial instruments
180
1,586
Unrealized (gain) on foreign currency translation
(62

)
(153 )
Gain on asset disposition

(114
Asset retirement obligations settled
(458

)
(46 )
Changes in non-cash working capital
1,266
(2,035 )

Net cash generated by operating activities

31,709
44,836

INVESTING
Additions to intangible exploration and evaluation assets
(337

)
(5,377 )
Additions to petroleum and natural gas assets
(6,726

)
(30,626 )
Additions to other assets
(435

)
(929 )
Proceeds from asset dispositions

114
Changes in non-cash working capital
(3,544

)
(291 )

Net cash used in investing activities

(11,042

)
(37,109 )

FINANCING
Issue of common shares for cash

547
Interest paid
(1,918

)
(3,664 )
Increase in long-term debt
406
476
Payments on lease obligations
(1,703

)
(1,945 )
Repayments of long-term debt
(16,504

)
(16,523 )
Dividends paid

(5,078 )
Changes in non-cash working capital
161
(200 )

Net cash used in financing activities

(19,558

)
(26,387 )
Currency translation differences relating to cash and cash equivalents
150
206

NET INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS

1,259
(18,454 )
CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS, BEGINNING OF YEAR
33,251
51,705

CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS, END OF YEAR

34,510
33,251




LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Liquidity describes a company’s ability to access cash. Companies operating in the upstream oil and gas industry require sufficient cash in order to fund capital programs that maintain and increase production and reserves, to acquire strategic oil and gas assets, to repay current liabilities and debt and ultimately to provide a return to shareholders. TransGlobe’s capital programs are funded by existing working capital and cash provided from operating activities. The Company’s cash flow from operations varies significantly from quarter to quarter, depending on the timing of oil sales from cargoes lifted in Egypt, and these fluctuations in cash flow impact the Company’s liquidity. TransGlobe’s management will continue to steward capital and focus on cost reductions in order to maintain balance sheet strength through the current volatile oil price environment.

Funding for the Company’s capital expenditures is provided by cash flows from operations and cash on hand. The Company expects to fund its 2021 exploration and development program through the use of working capital and cash flow from operations. Fluctuations in commodity prices, product demand, foreign exchange rates, interest rates and various other risks may impact capital resources and capital expenditures.

Working capital is the amount by which current assets exceed current liabilities. As at December 31, 2020, the Company had a working capital surplus of $15.3 million (December 31, 2019 – $32.2 million). The decrease in working capital is primarily due to the $15.0 million outstanding balance of the Mercuria prepayment agreement being reclassified as current during the year, a decrease in cash resulting from repayments on long-term debt, payments on accounts payable during the year, a decrease in crude oil inventory due to increased sales to EGPC in 2020, partially offset by a decrease in accounts payable.

As at December 31, 2020, the Company’s cash equivalents balance consisted of short-term deposits with an original term to maturity at purchase of one month or less. All of the Company’s cash and cash equivalents are on deposit with high credit-quality financial institutions.

Over the past 10 years, the Company experienced delays in the collection of accounts receivable from EGPC. The length of delay peaked in 2013, returned to historical delays of up to six months in 2017, and has since fluctuated within an acceptable range. As at December 31, 2020, amounts owing from EGPC were $6.0 million. The Company considers there to be minimal credit risk associated with amounts receivable from EGPC.

In Egypt, the Company completed a second crude oil sale in Q4-2020 for total proceeds of $16.2 million, which were collected in December 2020. The Company incurs a 30-day collection cycle on sales to third-party international buyers. Depending on the Company’s assessment of the credit of crude oil purchasers, they may be required to post irrevocable letters of credit to support the sales prior to the cargo lifting. As at December 31, 2020, the Company held 227.9 Mbbls of entitlement oil as inventory.

As at December 31, 2020, the Company had $86.0 million of revolving credit facilities with $21.5 million drawn and $64.5 million available. The Company has a prepayment agreement with Mercuria that allows for a revolving balance of up to $75.0 million, of which $15.0 million was drawn and outstanding as at December 31, 2020. During 2020, the Company repaid $15.0 million of this prepayment agreement. The Company also has a revolving Canadian reserves-based lending facility with ATB that was renewed and reduced as at June 30, 2020 from C$25.0 million ($19.2 million) to C$15.0 million ($11.0 million). The reduction in the ATB facility is a result of lower forecasted commodity prices and the associated impact on asset value. During 2020, the Company repaid C$2.0 million ($1.5 million) and had drawings of $C0.5 million ($0.4 million) on this facility, leaving C$8.3 million ($6.6 million) drawn and outstanding.

The Company actively monitors its liquidity to ensure that cash flows, credit facilities and working capital are adequate to support these financial liabilities, as well as the Company’s capital programs.

To date, the Company has experienced no difficulties with transferring funds abroad.


MANAGEMENT STRATEGY AND OUTLOOK

The 2021 outlook provides information as to management’s expectation for results of operations for 2021. Readers are cautioned that the 2021 outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes. The Company’s expected results are sensitive to fluctuations in the business environment in the jurisdictions that the Company operates in, and may vary accordingly.

This outlook contains forward-looking statements that should be read in conjunction with the Company’s disclosure under “Advisory on Forward-Looking Information and Statements” within this announcement.


2021 Outlook

The 2021 production outlook for the Company is provided as a range to reflect timing and performance contingencies.

Global reaction to the spread of COVID-19 and the related economic fallout has created significant volatility, uncertainty, and turmoil in the oil and gas industry. Oil demand significantly deteriorated as a result of the pandemic and corresponding preventative measures taken globally to mitigate the spread of the virus. While market conditions have recently improved, The Company may record lower per boe results in 2021 due to these events which may continue to negatively affect TransGlobe’s business.

TransGlobe maintains a strong balance sheet with modest debt and is the operator across all of its producing assets, which gives the Company significant capital flexibility and a high degree of discretion in its forward investment program. The Company intends to use all available tools to minimize balance sheet risk and position itself for future success.

With $15.0 million owed to Mercuria Energy Trading SA (“Mercuria”) and $6.6 million owed to ATB Financial (“ATB”), TransGlobe is in compliance with its debt covenants. During 2020, the Company repaid $15.0 million on the prepayment facility with Mercuria and $1.5 million to ATB. The Company exited 2020 with $34.5 million cash on hand. TransGlobe is actively engaged with Mercuria on an amendment and extension to the facility currently maturing in September, 2021.

As announced in early December, 2020, the Company reached an agreement with the Egyptian General Petroleum Company (“EGPC”) to merge its three existing Eastern Desert concessions with a 15-year primary term and improved Company economics. Ratification of the concession is anticipated in Q2-2021, and the February 1, 2020 effective date for the improved concession terms supports increased investment in advance of ratification. Subject to ratification, the Company will pay EGPC a signature bonus and an equalization payment in installments. An initial equalization payment of $15.0 million and signature bonus of $1.0 million are due on ratification, with five further annual equalization payments of $10.0 million each being made over five years (beginning February 1, 2022 until February 1, 2026). The Company will also have minimum financial work commitments of $50.0 million per each five-year period of the primary development term, commencing on the February 1, 2020 effective date.

With the approval of the agreement to merge the Eastern Desert concessions and recent commodity price improvements, the Company has moved forward to re-start investment in Egypt and also in Canada to support growth plans in both countries. The Company’s recently announced 2021 capital program of $27.2 million (before capitalized G&A) includes $16.6 million for Egypt and $10.6 million for Canada. The 2021 plan was prepared to focus on value accretive projects within its portfolio, maximize free cash flow to direct at future value growth opportunities and to increase the Company’s production base.

Total corporate production is expected to range between 12.0 and 13.0 Mboe/d (mid-point of 12.5 Mboe/d) for 2021 with a 93% weighting to oil and liquids. Egypt oil production is expected to range between 9.7 and 10.5 Mbbls/d (mid-point of 10.1 Mbbls/d) in 2021. Canadian production is expected to range between 2.3 and 2.5 Mboe/d (mid-point of 2.4 Mboe/d) in 2021. The 2021 mid-point production guidance broken out by product type is summarized below:


Mid-point production guidance

Egypt

Canada

Total
Light and medium crude oil (bbls/d) 791 800 1,591
Heavy crude oil (bbls/d) 9,309 9,309
Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d) 4,800 4,800
Associated natural gas liquids (bbls/d) 800 800

Total (boe/d)

10,100

2,400

12,500


The Company has and will continue to monitor its economic thresholds for shutting-in production in Canada. In Egypt, the Company continues to carry out economic reviews to determine whether offline production should be brought back on or if well interventions should be carried out. If oil prices return to the lows in Q2 of 2020, the Company may choose to shut-in uneconomic production and 2021 production guidance could be negatively impacted.

Funds flow from operations in any given period is dependent upon the timing and market price of crude oil sales in Egypt. Because these factors are difficult to accurately predict, the Company has not provided funds flow from operations guidance for 2021. Funds flow from operations and inventory levels in Egypt may fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter due to the timing of crude oil sales.

The below chart provides a comparison of well netbacks in the Company’s Egyptian and Canadian assets under multiple price sensitivities. The Egyptian netbacks reflect the existing PSC terms in the Eastern Desert and do not reflect the potential netbacks once ratification occurs to merge the Eastern Desert PSCs. A typical Cardium well produces both oil and natural gas/NGLs. The price of each commodity varies significantly, therefore the below chart presents the netback of each revenue stream separately.


Netback sensitivity
Benchmark crude oil price ($/bbl)

1
30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00
Benchmark natural gas price ($/Mcf)

2
1.97 2.05 2.13 2.20 2.28
Netback ($/boe)
Egypt – crude oil

3
(4.80 ) (0.70 ) 3.40 7.20 9.50
Canada – crude oil

4
13.80 22.40 30.20 37.60 45.10
Canada – natural gas and NGLs

4
2.40 4.50 6.40 8.20 10.00


1

Benchmark Egypt crude oil price is Dated Brent; benchmark Canada crude oil price is WTI.

2

Benchmark natural gas price is AECO.

3

Egypt assumptions: using anticipated 2021 Egypt production profile, Gharib Blend price differential estimate of $5.00/bbl applied consistently at all price points, concession differentials of 4%, 5% and 5% applied to WG/WB/NWG, respectively, operating costs estimated at ~$15.20/bbl, pre-concession merger ratification terms, and maximum cost recovery resulting from accumulated cost pools.

4

Canada assumptions: using anticipated 2020 Canada production profile, Edmonton Light price differential estimate of C$5.00/bbl, Edmonton Light to Harmattan discount of C$2.50/bbl, operating costs estimated at ~C$7.00/boe, NGL mixture price at 45% of Edmonton Light, and takes into consideration Canadian tax pools.


2021 Capital Budget

The Company’s 2021 capital program of $27.2 million (before capitalized G&A) includes $16.6 million for Egypt and $10.6 million for Canada. The 2021 plan was prepared to focus on value accretive projects within its portfolio, maximize free cash flow to direct at future growth opportunities and to increase the Company’s production base. The 2021 drilling program includes 12 Egypt wells and 3 Canadian Cardium wells in South Harmattan.


Egypt

As announced in early December, 2020, the Company reached an agreement with the Egyptian General Petroleum Company (“EGPC”) to merge its three existing concessions with a 15-year primary term and improved Company economics. Ratification of the concession is anticipated in Q2, 2021 and the February 1, 2020 effective date for the improved concession terms supports increased investment in parallel with ratification.

The $16.6 million Egypt program is entirely allocated to development activities. The primary focus of the 2021 Egypt plan is to accelerate the exploitation of the Company’s Eastern Desert acreage with the aim of increasing oil production, while evaluating and increasing production from the more prospective lower Bahariya reservoir on the South Ghazalat development lease in the Western Desert.

The 2021 development program is principally focused on the Eastern Desert and includes: nine development wells in West Bakr (three in H and six in K pools), one Red Bed appraisal well in the NW Gharib 3X pool, two development wells targeting Arta Nukhul reservoir in West Gharib, two recompletions in West Bark, two recompletions in West Gharib, three conversions to water injectors in West Gharib, and development & maintenance projects in the Eastern Desert (West Bakr, NW Gharib and West Gharib). A recompletion of the SGZ-6X well to the more prospective lower Bahariya reservoir is also planned.

Egypt production is expected to average between 9.7 and 10.5 Mboe/d for the year and achieve an exit rate in the range of 10.4 to 10.7 Mboe/d.


Canada

The $10.6 million Canada program consists of drilling three (three net) horizontal wells and completing one (one net) standing well, all targeting the Cardium light oil resource at Harmattan, with additional maintenance/ development capital. The Cardium drilling program in 2021 consists of one 2-mile and two 1-mile development wells in South Harmattan. The one 2-mile horizontal well drilled, but not completed, in South Harmattan in 2020 will also be stimulated, equipped, and brought into production.

Canada production is expected to average between 2.3 and 2.5 Mboe/d for the year and achieve an exit rate in the range of 3.1 to 3.3 Mboe/d.

The approved 2021 capital program is summarized in the following table:


TransGlobe 2021 Capital ($MM)

Gross Well Count

Development

Exploration

Drilling

Concession

Wells

Other


1


Wells

Total


2


Development

Exploration

Total
West Gharib 1.1 2.0
3.1
2
2
West Bakr 9.3 0.5
9.8
9
9
NW Gharib 0.9
0.9
1
1
South Ghazalat 0.3
0.3



Egypt

11.3

5.3



16.6

12



12

Canada

9.0

1.6



10.6

3



3

2021 Total

20.3

6.9



27.2

15



15
Splits (%) 100% 0% 100% 100% 0% 100%


1

Other includes completions, workovers, recompletions and equipping


Advisory on Forward-Looking Information and Statements


Certain statements included in this news release constitute forward-looking statements or forward-looking information under applicable securities legislation. Such forward-looking statements or information are provided for the purpose of providing information about management’s current expectations and plans relating to the future. Readers are cautioned that reliance on such information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Forward-looking statements or information typically contain statements with words such as “anticipate”, “strengthened”, “confidence”, “believe”, “expect”, “plan”, “intend”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “would” or similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. In particular, forward-looking information and statements contained in this document include, but are not limited to, the Company’s strategy to grow its annual cash flow; anticipated drilling, completion and testing plans, including, the anticipated timing thereof, prospects being targeted by the Company, and rig mobilization plans; expected future production from certain of the Company’s drilling locations; TransGlobe’s plans to drill additional wells, including the types of wells, anticipated number of locations and the timing of drilling thereof; the timing of rig movement and mobilization and drilling activity; the Company’s plans to file development lease applications for certain of its discoveries, including the expected timing of filing of such applications and the expected timing of receipt of regulatory approvals; anticipated production and ultimate recoveries from wells; to negotiate future military access (including the expected timing thereof), including the anticipated timing of wells on production; TransGlobe’s plans to continue exploration, development and completion programs in respect of various discoveries; future requirements necessary to determine well performance and estimated recoveries; the ratification of the amendment, extension, and consolidation of the Company’s Eastern Desert Concessions; and other matters.


Forward-looking statements or information are based on a number of factors and assumptions which have been used to develop such statements and information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because the Company can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Many factors could cause TransGlobe’s actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made by, or on behalf of, TransGlobe.


In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified in this news release, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things, anticipated production volumes; the timing of drilling wells and mobilizing drilling rigs; the number of wells to be drilled; the Company’s ability to obtain qualified staff and equipment in a timely and cost-efficient manner; the regulatory framework governing royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which the Company conducts and will conduct its business; future capital expenditures to be made by the Company; future sources of funding for the Company’s capital programs; geological and engineering estimates in respect of the Company’s reserves and resources; the geography of the areas in which the Company is conducting exploration and development activities; current commodity prices and royalty regimes; availability of skilled labour; future exchange rates; the price of oil; the impact of increasing competition; conditions in general economic and financial markets; availability of drilling and related equipment; effects of regulation by governmental agencies; future operating costs; uninterrupted access to areas of TransGlobe’s operations and infrastructure; recoverability of reserves and future production rates; that TransGlobe will have sufficient cash flow, debt or equity sources or other financial resources required to fund its capital and operating expenditures and requirements as needed; that TransGlobe’s conduct and results of operations will be consistent with its expectations; that TransGlobe will have the ability to develop its properties in the manner currently contemplated; current or, where applicable, proposed industry conditions, laws and regulations will continue in effect or as anticipated as described herein; that the estimates of TransGlobe’s reserves and resource volumes and the assumptions related thereto (including commodity prices and development costs) are accurate in all material respects; and other matters.


Forward-looking statements or information are based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by the Company and described in the forward-looking statements or information. These risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements or information include, among other things, operating and/or drilling costs are higher than anticipated; unforeseen changes in the rate of production from TransGlobe’s oil and gas properties; changes in price of crude oil and natural gas; adverse technical factors associated with exploration, development, production or transportation of TransGlobe’s crude oil reserves; changes or disruptions in the political or fiscal regimes in TransGlobe’s areas of activity; changes in tax, energy or other laws or regulations; changes in significant capital expenditures; delays or disruptions in production due to shortages of skilled manpower equipment or materials; economic fluctuations; competition; lack of availability of qualified personnel; the results of exploration and development drilling and related activities; obtaining required approvals of regulatory authorities; volatility in market prices for oil; fluctuations in foreign exchange or interest rates; environmental risks; ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources; failure to negotiate the terms of contracts with counterparties; failure of counterparties to perform under the terms of their contracts; and other factors beyond the Company’s control. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Please consult TransGlobe’s public filings at www.sedar.com and www.sec.goedgar.shtml for further, more detailed information concerning these matters, including additional risks related to TransGlobe’s business.


The forward-looking statements or information contained in this news release are made as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise unless required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements or information contained in this news release are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.


Oil and Gas Advisories


Mr. Ron Hornseth, B.Sc., General Manager – Canada for TransGlobe Energy Corporation, and a qualified person as defined in the Guidance Note for Mining, Oil and Gas Companies, June 2009, of the London Stock Exchange, has reviewed the technical information contained in this report. Mr. Hornseth is a professional engineer who obtained a Bachelor of Science in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Alberta. He is a member of the Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (“APEGA”) and the Society of Petroleum Engineers (“SPE”) and has over 20 years’ experience in oil and gas.


BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil equivalent (6 MCF: 1 Bbl) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value.


References in this press release to production test rates, are useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons, however such rates are not determinative of the rates at which such wells will commence production and decline thereafter and are not indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. While encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in calculating the aggregate production for TransGlobe. A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out in respect of all wells. Accordingly, the Company cautions that the production test results should be considered to be preliminary.


The following abbreviations used in this press release have the meanings set forth below:


bbl

barrels

bbls/d

barrels per day

Mbbls/d

thousand barrels per day

Mbbls

thousand barrels

boe

barrel of oil equivalent

boe/d

barrels of oil equivalent per day

Mboe/d

thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day

MMbtu

One million British thermal units

Mcf

thousand cubic feet

Mcf/d

thousand cubic feet per day

NGL

Natural Gas Liquids




Production Disclosure



Production Summary (WI before royalties and taxes):

Feb – 21

Jan – 21

Q4 – 20

Q3 – 20

Q2 – 20

Q1 – 20

Q4 – 19

Egypt (bbls/d)

9,975

10,372

10,268

9,812

11,990

12,544

12,831

Eastern Desert of Egypt (bbls/d)

9,874

10,257

10,132

9,635

11,757

12,343

12,831

Heavy Crude (bbls/d)

9,084

9,436

9,490

9,066

11,001

11,548

11,984

Light and Medium Crude (bbls/d)

790

821

642

569

756

795

847

Western Desert of Egypt (bbls/d)

101

115

136

177

233

201



Light and Medium Crude (bbls/d)

101

115

136

177

233

201



Canada (boe/d)

2,032

2,108

2,116

2,232

2,310

2,453

2,531

Light and Medium Crude (bbls/d)

576

607

618

661

706

860

908

Natural Gas (Mcf/d)

4,262

4,540

4,454

4,633

4,665

4,996

5,334

Associated Natural Gas Liquids (bbls/d)

746

744

755

798

826

761

735

Total (boe/d)

12,007

12,480

12,384

12,044

14,300

14,997

15,362


Production Guidance

Low

High

Mid-Point

Egypt (bbls/d)

9,700

10,500

10,100

Heavy Crude (bbls/d)

8,940

9,678

9,309

Light and Medium Crude (bbls/d)

760

822

791

Canada (boe/d)

2,300

2,500

2,400

Light and Medium Crude (bbls/d)

767

833

800

Natural Gas (Mcf/d)

4,600

5,000

4,800

Associated Natural Gas Liquids (bbls/d)

767

833

800

Total (boe/d)

12,000

13,000

12,500



About TransGlobe

TransGlobe Energy Corporation is a cash flow-focused oil and gas exploration and development company whose current activities are concentrated in the Arab Republic of Egypt and Canada. TransGlobe’s common shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange under the symbol TGL and on the NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol TGA.

For further information, please contact:


TransGlobe Energy Corporation


Randy Neely, President and CEO

Eddie Ok, CFO
+1 403 264 9888

[email protected]

http://www.trans-globe.com

or via Tailwind Associates or

FTI Consulting


Tailwind Associates (Investor Relations)


Darren Engels
+1 403 618 8035

[email protected]


http://www.tailwindassociates.ca


FTI Consulting (Financial PR)


Ben Brewerton

Genevieve Ryan

+44(0) 20 3727 1000

[email protected]

Canaccord Genuity (Nomad & Joint-Broker)


Henry Fitzgerald-O’Connor

James Asensio

+44(0) 20 7523 8000

Shore Capital (Joint Broker)


Jerry Keen

Toby Gibbs
+44(0) 20 7408 4090



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